In its first aircraft forecast in four years, European manufacturer ATR predicts 2,450 new turboprop commercial aircraft in the period 2022-2041.

“Replacements will account for 7 out of 10 new aircraft,” said Fabrice Vautier, SVP Commercial at ATR, “the remainder will be deployed to enhance regional mobility and connectivity through new routes.”

Vautier said, “The forecast demonstrates that essential connectivity is needed both for emerging and mature markets now and in the future. The biggest driver of demand is airlines modernising their fleets to meet the highest environmental standards while making air transport accessible to all.” 

Turboprops comprise about 40% of the regional passenger fleet. The forecast predicts the global fleet for 30-plus seat aircraft will rise from 1950 in 2022 to 2660 in 2041 – an increase of about one-third. The biggest increases are expected in Asia Pacific, China and Latin America.

Turboprops, which make up to 94% of the regional freighter fleet, are predicted to rise from 380 in 2021 to 550 in 2041 – an increase of 45%.